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Workshop on Approximate Inference in Stochastic Processes and Dynamical Systems, Cumberland Lodge 2008

Workshop on Approximate Inference in Stochastic Processes and Dynamical Systems, Cumberland Lodge 2008

20 Videos · May 27, 2008

About

The modelling of continuous-time stochastic processes from uncertain (discrete) observations is an important task that arises in a wide range of applications, such as in climate modelling, tracking, finance and systems biology. Although observations are in general only available at discrete times, the underlying system is often a continuous-time one. Hence, the physics or the dynamics are formulated by systems of differential equations, the observation noise and the process uncertainty being modelled by several stochastic sources. When dealing with stochastic processes, it is natural to take a probabilistic approach. For example, we may incorporate prior knowledge about the dynamics by providing probability distributions on the unknown functions. In contrast to models that are only data driven, it is hoped that incorporating domain knowledge in the inference process will improve performance in practice. The main challenges in this context are how to deal with continuous-time objects, how to do inference and how to be agnostic about the deterministic driving forces and the sources of uncertainty.

The workshop provides a forum for discussing the open problems arising in dynamical systems, and in particular continuous-time stochastic processes. It focuses both on the mathematical aspects/theoretical advances and the applications. Another important aim is to bridge the gap between the different communities (data assimilation, machine learning, optimal control, systems biology, finance, ...) and favour interactions. Hence, the workshop is of interest to researchers from statistics, computer science, mathematics, physics and engineering. We also hope that the workshop provides new insights in this exciting field and serve as a starting point for new research perspectives and future collaborations. The workshop is sponsored by PASCAL2 network of excellence and is one of six workshops in the Thematic Programme in Leveraging Complex Prior Knowledge for Learning.

For more inforamtion visit the Workshop website.

Videos

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52:53

Approximate inference for continuous time Markov processes

Manfred Opper

calendar icon Sep 17, 2008 5779 views

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28:19

Approximate Bayesian computation: a simulation based approach to inference

Richard Wilkinson

calendar icon Sep 9, 2008 9653 views

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54:38

Variational filtering in generated coordinates of motion

Karl Friston

calendar icon Sep 9, 2008 7971 views

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40:06

Estimating the probability of rare climate events: inference from a large determ...

Peter Challenor

calendar icon Sep 9, 2008 3388 views

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37:06

Information evolution of optimal learning

Roman V. Belavkin

calendar icon Sep 4, 2008 5466 views

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34:36

Solving the data association problem in multi-object tracking by Fourier analysi...

Risi Kondor

calendar icon Aug 8, 2008 7490 views

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31:45

State estimation and prediction based on dynamic spike train decoding: noise, ad...

Ron Meir

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 3666 views

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35:08

Variational inference and learning for continuous-time nonlinear state-space mod...

Tapani Raiko

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 3373 views

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27:27

Gaussian process toolkit for modelling the dynamics of transcriptional regulatio...

Pei Gao

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 4180 views

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41:58

Exact simulation of jump diffusions

Flavio Goncalves

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 4334 views

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49:15

Normalized kernel-weighted random measures

Jim Griffin

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 3609 views

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53:19

Sigma point and particle approximations of stochastic differential equations in ...

Simo Särkkä

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 6481 views

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25:33

Approximate system identification: Misfit versus latency

Ivan Markovsky

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 4328 views

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22:34

Density estimation of initial conditions for populations of dynamical systems

Alberto Busetto

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 3836 views

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49:42

MCMC schemes for partially observed diffusions - Some recent advances

Andrew Golightly

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 3582 views

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01:05:09

An introduction to Levy processes with financial modelling in mind

Matthias Winkel

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 18040 views

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52:51

On stratified path sampling of the Thermodynamic Integral: computing Bayes facto...

Mark Girolami

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 5878 views

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51:12

An efficient approach to stochastic optimal control

Bert Kappen

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 11910 views

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28:17

An efficient Monte-Carlo algorithm for the ML-Type II parameter estimation of no...

Yuan Shen

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 3820 views

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28:42

Sparse Multi-output Gaussian Processes

Mauricio Alvarez

calendar icon Aug 5, 2008 5519 views

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